That’s hardly a “group” anymore, is it? It’s FINALS time.

Simon was giving interviews before the show saying the same thing: Bo has the advantage due to experience. He’s been in front of large-ish crowds before. Carrie hasn’t been out of Oklahoma. And as much as I love Carrie, he’s right (as nearly always) and it showed through last night. While Bo showed nerves in his third song (no doubt due to it being outside his normal range), Carrie was a wreck all night, pulling herself together for the last song mostly by keeping her eyes closed and not looking out at the entire crowd.

It was, in fact, the final song that clinched it for me. If you count the first two rounds as a draw, the final round goes to Carrie. As schmaltzy and saccharine as you may think the last song was, it’s the perfect one for Carrie and I got the goosebumps. It reminded me of Kelly in season one singing “A Moment Like This” for the first time.

Carrie’s only mistake on the song was ending in the falsetto. When they showed clips from all the performances after that, they showed her in dress rehearsal finishing strong instead of with the falsetto. It sounded a lot better. She didn’t pull out of the note that time. I can’t wait to hear the conspiracy theorists complain that the producers are pushing for Carrie by using the better dress rehearsal footage at the end to influence votes.

In the end, you have two likeable contestants with enormous talent and skills. Someone has to win tonight, and it looks like a complete toss up. It’s been so close that it’s almost random chance. A one or two percent difference in the voting tally of 30,000,000 votes or more is statistically insignificant. Both will get contracts, with the winner getting a slightly fatter one and, one might argue, worse representation from 19 Entertainment. They’ll promise an album for the fall that won’t show up until the spring. The duelling singles will be released in three weeks. The tour will be half attended at dozens of cities throughout the country.

American Idol: The Juggernaut carries on.

Go Carrie.