I can explain this one. It’s sad, but not entirely unpredictable.  Not only were the two best singers in the bottom two this week, but the two who had the best performances overall landed in the bottom two.

There was no Bottom Three.  They saved one person that agony. I wonder if it would have been Jason Castro, who I predicted would leave this week?

It was just Syesha and Carly sitting on the stools, stage right.  At first, it’s devastating. When the overrated Archuleta is breezing his way through to the finals, the stumbling Brooke carries through, and the hopeless Jason mumbles his way through another wretched number that sounds like all the others, the two girls with the strongest and most powerful voices are the only ones in danger of leaving.

But think about it for another minute or two.  It’s a classic case of vote splitting.  Syesha and Carly are splitting the same audience.  The people who watch this show looking for the next Mariah or Whitney have only Syesha and Carly to choose from.  With Carly now gone, Syesha gains votes for the first week in a long time.  I think she’s safe now next week, for sure. She just got all of Carly’s votes.

Cooke is the lone rocker.  Brooke is the lone folksinger.  Jason and David might be splitting a bit of the youth vote, but David is the superior singer, overrated as he is.  Carly and Syesha are, relatively speaking, the same singer.  When votes are split in this show, people leave too soon.

Just look back, again, to the LaToya London, Jennifer Hudson, Fantasia Barrino week.  They were all too very similar to not split the vote, and Hudson left, with all her votes going to the eventual winner in Fantasia.  (As I recall, sadly, LaToya didn’t last much longer after that week.)

So this is just a simple matter of vote splitting.  That said, I do have a negative feeling about this season. I fear we’re going to wind up with a one hit wonder Idol this season.  David Cooke, I think, is the only one left who might have a valid long-term career, and even then it will always be in the shadow of Chris Daughtry.

We heard about how this was the best Top 12 in Idol history, but it’s winding down to something that’s not very pretty.